Srinagar, Jan 10: Kashmir is grappling with its driest year in half a century, with 2024 marking the fifth consecutive year of below-average rainfall, according to independent weather forecaster Faizan Arif Keng.
Keng revealed that precipitation levels in 2024 dropped to 870.9 mm, a 29% deficit compared to the normal annual average of 1232.3 mm. "This is the lowest rainfall recorded in the region since 1974 when it was 802.5 mm," he said, describing the trend as alarming.
The downward spiral began in 2020, with precipitation deficits recorded at 20%, 28% in 2021, 16% in 2022, and 7% in 2023. "The numbers reflect a worrying decline in the region's water availability," Keng added.
Monthly data for 2024 paints a stark picture. January suffered a 91% rainfall deficit, February and March saw shortfalls of 17% and 16%, and while April experienced a 48% surplus, it was the only month with above-normal rainfall. Deficits resumed in May (67%), June (38%), and continued through December, including severe deficits of 74% in October and 69% in November.
Experts warn that dwindling rainfall has exacerbated water scarcity for agriculture, hydropower, and drinking purposes, creating challenges for both policymakers and residents.
Meanwhile, river Jhelum, a crucial water source for Kashmir, is flowing at some of its lowest recorded levels.
At Sangam point, the river's level is at -0.75 feet, while Ram Munshi Bagh and Asham stand at 3.73 feet and 1.08 feet, respectively, reflecting the long-term impact of climate change.
Policymakers are being urged to adopt climate adaptation strategies and develop robust water management plans to combat the growing threat of prolonged dry spells in the region.